Radomiak Radom 3-1 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.86
Over
46%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.69
No
50%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.11
2-3
39%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.44
6+
9%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.11 — our 30% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.39
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
10%
12.9
X/1
18%
5.31
X/2
10%
6.2
X/X
9%
4.59
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
14%
4.3
2/X
6%
13.15
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Radomiak Radom The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin The Market 36%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.41 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.35
1.16 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.60
Average Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
22.0 Crosses 17.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.19 xG 1.30
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
242 Passes 326
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2025 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-2 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POLK
05.04.2025 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-1 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
29.09.2024 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
28.04.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 3-4 HT 0-3 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
29.10.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-3 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
06.03.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-1 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
3-1
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.83 xG 1.28
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
244 Passes 251
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Radomiak Radom put daylight between themselves and Zaglebie Lubin 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Radomiak Radom as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 50%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.69, roughly 59%.

The match data tells the story: possession split 50% to 50% in Radomiak Radom's favour, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 1.83 to 1.28.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zaglebie Lubin led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Radomiak Radom against 1.83 for Zaglebie Lubin.

Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin Result & Final Score

Radomiak Radom 3-1 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomiak Radom win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 45%, draw 25%, Zaglebie Lubin 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radomiak Radom) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radomiak Radom) ✗ Under 2.5
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