Radomiak Radom 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 29% vs market 28.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.99
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
17%
4.82
X/2
8%
6.97
X/X
13%
4.48
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
13%
5.28
2/X
6%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.53/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.67
-13% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
24.9 Crosses 17.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.25 xG 1.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
271 Passes 332
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2024 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
28.04.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 3-4 HT 0-3 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
29.10.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-3 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
06.03.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-1 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
21.08.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
06.05.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-6 HT 0-3 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
0-1
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
0.52 xG 0.63
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
270 Passes 203
71% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin squeezed past Radomiak Radom 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Radomiak Radom at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 55% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 45%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.52 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zaglebie Lubin led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Radomiak Radom and 2.33 for Zaglebie Lubin.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Radomiak Radom 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomiak Radom win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 44%, draw 27%, Zaglebie Lubin 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Radomiak Radom) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radomiak Radom) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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