Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lech Poznan v Korona Kielce — Team-Based Signals
Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Lech Poznan
POL
0-3
HT 0-1
Lech Poznan
POL
3-2
HT 1-0
Korona Kielce
POL
0-3
HT 0-0
Lech Poznan
POL
0-0
HT 0-0
Korona Kielce
POL
Lech Poznan 2-0 Korona Kielce — Actual Match Statistics
Lech Poznan beat Korona Kielce 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lech Poznan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Lech Poznan had 61% of the ball to Korona Kielce's 39%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.60 to 1.30.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lech Poznan and 0.67 for Korona Kielce.
What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce?
Lech Poznan 2-0 Korona Kielce in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 49%, draw 27%, Korona Kielce 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lech Poznan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.