Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Motor Lublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 5 Apr 2025

Slask Wroclaw
1-1 HT 1-0
Motor Lublin
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Slask Wroclaw vs Motor Lublin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.27
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
15%
4.45
X/2 EV+ ✗
15%
9.15
X/X
12%
5.61
2/1
7%
21.75
2/2
10%
6.85
2/X
6%
15.2
Value flag · X/2 at 9.15 — our 15% vs market 7.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Slask Wroclaw v Motor Lublin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slask Wroclaw EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.29/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.39
-30% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.3
24.5 Crosses 24.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Slask Wroclaw vs Motor Lublin Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slask Wroclaw
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Motor Lublin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 1.31
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
249 Passes 365
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 43
6 Crosses 42
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 2-1 HT 0-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
10.10.2015 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 0-2 HT 0-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw HAZ

Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Motor Lublin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slask Wroclaw
1-1
AWAY Motor Lublin
1.17 xG 2.22
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
241 Passes 342
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slask Wroclaw vs Motor Lublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slask Wroclaw and Motor Lublin shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Slask Wroclaw at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slask Wroclaw had 43% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 57%, shots finished 10-23, expected goals 1.17 to 2.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Slask Wroclaw and 1.00 for Motor Lublin.

What was the final score of Slask Wroclaw vs Motor Lublin?

Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Motor Lublin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slask Wroclaw vs Motor Lublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slask Wroclaw win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Slask Wroclaw 44%, draw 24%, Motor Lublin 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Slask Wroclaw), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slask Wroclaw) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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