Motor Lublin 2-1 Slask Wroclaw — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.87
6+ Goals
7%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 33% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.73
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
12%
5.41
X/2
12%
5.56
X/X
12%
4.3
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
16%
3.88
2/X
5%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.6pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Slask Wroclaw EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -14%
1.33/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.28
-50% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
25.6 Crosses 18.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motor Lublin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Slask Wroclaw
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 5
10.10.2015 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 0-2 HT 0-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motor Lublin
2-1
AWAY Slask Wroclaw
1.31 xG 1.04
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 1
365 Passes 249
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
43 Box Touches 10
42 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motor Lublin squeezed past Slask Wroclaw 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Motor Lublin made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Motor Lublin had 59% of the ball to Slask Wroclaw's 41%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.31 to 1.04.

What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw?

Motor Lublin 2-1 Slask Wroclaw in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motor Lublin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Motor Lublin 40%, draw 25%, Slask Wroclaw 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motor Lublin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motor Lublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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