Legia Varşova 1-1 Gornik Zabrze — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 00:36
Match Result
HomeVIEW
56%
1.74
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
19%
4.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.83
Over
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.15
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
21%
3.72
6+
5%
15.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.3
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
19%
3.99
X/2
7%
9.0
X/X
16%
4.77
2/1
3%
24.85
2/2
10%
7.15
2/X
5%
15.4
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Legia Varşova The Market 57%
Signal
AWAY Gornik Zabrze The Market 24%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.95 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.02
0.82 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.45
Great Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.64 xG 1.32
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
353 Passes 305
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-3 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
24.09.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-1 HT 1-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
04.03.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-1 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
19.08.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-2 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
06.05.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 5-3 HT 4-2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
21.11.2021 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 3-2 HT 2-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
1 - 1
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.08 xG 1.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
431 Passes 336
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Legia Varşova vs Gornik Zabrze
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Legia Varşova and Gornik Zabrze couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Legia Varşova at 56% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, possession split 56% to 44% in Legia Varşova's favour, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.08 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Legia Varşova against 1.67 for Gornik Zabrze.

Legia Varşova vs Gornik Zabrze Result & Final Score

Legia Varşova 1 - 1 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Legia Varşova vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 56%, draw 25%, Gornik Zabrze 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Legia Varşova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
28 Sep 2024
15:45 Rakow Czestochowa vs Puszcza Niepolomice Analysis →
18:30 Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw Analysis →