Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 28% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.29
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
19%
5.14
X/2
14%
6.11
X/X
9%
4.62
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
13%
4.2
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +6%
1.30/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.47
-13% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
21.0 Crosses 18.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.74 xG 1.08
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 Passes 264
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 3-4 HT 0-3 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
29.10.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-3 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
06.03.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-1 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
21.08.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
06.05.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-6 HT 0-3 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
22.11.2021 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
1-0
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.91 xG 2.27
55% Ball Possession 45%
23 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
322 Passes 245
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin squeezed past Radomiak Radom 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zaglebie Lubin as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin had 55% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 45%, shots finished 23-15, expected goals 1.91 to 2.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zaglebie Lubin and 1.67 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin vs Radomiak Radom?

Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Lubin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin 43%, draw 24%, Radomiak Radom 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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