Piast Gliwice 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 29 Sep 2024

Piast Gliwice
0-1 HT 0-1
Jagiellonia Bialystok
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 31% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.4
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
16%
4.09
X/2
15%
8.47
X/X
15%
4.73
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
8%
6.62
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Piast Gliwice v Jagiellonia Bialystok — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.34/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.64
-2% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
19.2 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.39 xG 1.49
49% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
314 Passes 346
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.05.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
24.11.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 0-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
29.01.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
16.07.2022 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-0 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
23.04.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
30.10.2021 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-3 HT 0-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL

Piast Gliwice 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
0-1
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
1.26 xG 1.05
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
344 Passes 397
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia Bialystok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jagiellonia Bialystok nicked a narrow win over Piast Gliwice 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Piast Gliwice at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 47% of the ball to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 53%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 1.26 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Piast Gliwice and 1.33 for Jagiellonia Bialystok.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Piast Gliwice 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Before kick-off our model rated a Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 43%, draw 28%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Piast Gliwice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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