FK Ufa 0-0 Spartak Kostroma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
45%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.54
Over
48%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
39%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
45%
Away Win
38%
+7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
61%
-9.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
39%
+9.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Ufa The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Kostroma The Market 42%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-25% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH FK Ufa vs Spartak Kostroma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Ufa and Spartak Kostroma fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Kostroma at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of FK Ufa vs Spartak Kostroma?

FK Ufa 0-0 Spartak Kostroma in the Russia - FNL on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Ufa vs Spartak Kostroma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Kostroma win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FK Ufa 29%, draw 26%, Spartak Kostroma 45%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) ✓ Under 2.5
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