Chayka 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
20%
3.72
Away Pick
58%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.74
Over
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
41%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
FK Rodina Moskva win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
22%
Home Win
17%
+5.3pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.7pp
58%
Away Win
59%
-0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chayka The Market 20%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva The Market 62%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-6% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
224 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chayka
0W-1D-1L
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
10.11.2024 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 2-0 HT 2-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
11.08.2024 Chayka Chayka 2-2 HT 2-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
POST-MATCH Chayka vs FK Rodina Moskva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chayka and FK Rodina Moskva fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. FK Rodina Moskva carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chayka and 2.00 for FK Rodina Moskva.

What was the final score of Chayka vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Chayka 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chayka vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Chayka 22%, draw 19%, FK Rodina Moskva 58%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✓ BTTS No
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