Bistrica 2-2 Ilirija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 4 Oct 2025

Bistrica
2 - 2 HT 0 - 2
Ilirija
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.21
Over
62%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.67
No
43%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
42%
4-5
29%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Bistrica The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilirija The Market 20%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.77 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.03
1.13 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.65
Great Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1 Yellow Cards 4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bistrica
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ilirija
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2025 Ilirija Ilirija 0-0 HT 0-0 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
17.08.2024 Bistrica Bistrica 2-2 HT 0-2 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
23.03.2024 Ilirija Ilirija 0-2 HT 0-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
08.09.2023 Bistrica Bistrica 1-0 HT 1-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
25.03.2023 Bistrica Bistrica 4-0 HT 2-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
10.09.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 1-2 HT 1-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
REVIEW Bistrica vs Ilirija
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bistrica and Ilirija finished all square at 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bistrica at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) landed.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bistrica had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Bistrica against 0.50 for Ilirija.

Bistrica vs Ilirija Result & Final Score

Bistrica 2 - 2 Ilirija in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bistrica vs Ilirija Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bistrica win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Bistrica 65%, draw 19%, Ilirija 16%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bistrica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bistrica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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