AE Larissa 2-5 Volos NFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.6pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +2%
0.73/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.26
-16% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 68%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
14.3 Crosses 16.6
3.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AE Larissa
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Volos NFC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.85 xG 0.91
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
257 Passes 222
69% Pass Accuracy 67%
9 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2021 Volos NFC Volos NFC 3-1 HT 2-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
30.01.2021 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-0 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
31.10.2020 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-1 HT 0-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
22.06.2020 AE Larissa AE Larissa 3-1 HT 1-1 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
23.02.2020 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-0 HT 0-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
30.11.2019 AE Larissa AE Larissa 2-1 HT 0-1 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AE Larissa
2-5
AWAY Volos NFC
1.98 xG 3.37
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 12
10 Corners 2
287 Passes 321
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 22
28 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AE Larissa vs Volos NFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volos NFC swept aside AE Larissa 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Volos NFC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AE Larissa had 49% of the ball to Volos NFC's 51%, shots finished 15-20, expected goals 1.98 to 3.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AE Larissa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for AE Larissa and 1.00 for Volos NFC.

What was the final score of AE Larissa vs Volos NFC?

AE Larissa 2-5 Volos NFC in the Greece - Super League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AE Larissa vs Volos NFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a AE Larissa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split AE Larissa 36%, draw 31%, Volos NFC 32%. The final score 2-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AE Larissa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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