OFI 3-0 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 4 Oct 2025

OFI
3-0 HT 1-0
Aris Saloniki
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2025/2026

OFI vs Aris Saloniki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.78
Over 2.5
37%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
15%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 35% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.11
1/2
8%
24.85
1/X
5%
15.25
X/1
12%
7.67
X/2
20%
4.38
X/X
13%
4.71
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
19%
2.61
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.3pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

OFI v Aris Saloniki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 53%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +5%
1.62/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.95
+51% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
212 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
16.1 Crosses 16.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

OFI vs Aris Saloniki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.34 xG 1.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
266 Passes 402
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.05.2025 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
05.04.2025 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
05.01.2025 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-2 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
15.09.2024 OFI OFI 3-2 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
17.12.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-0 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
20.08.2023 OFI OFI 3-2 HT 2-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN

OFI 3-0 Aris Saloniki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
3-0
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.43 xG 0.47
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
152 Passes 370
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH OFI vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI ran out comfortable winners over Aris Saloniki 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aris Saloniki at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, OFI had 33% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 67%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.43 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, OFI had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for OFI and 1.33 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of OFI vs Aris Saloniki?

OFI 3-0 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split OFI 26%, draw 26%, Aris Saloniki 48%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Aris Saloniki), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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