Aris Saloniki 2-0 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.06
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.74
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
17.6
X/1
14%
3.91
X/2
7%
14.15
X/X
12%
6.32
2/1
14%
22.45
2/2
7%
12.1
2/X
5%
20.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-7.6pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.1pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +12%
1.46/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.16
-3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
20.2 Crosses 12.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
2W-1D-3L
AWAY OFI
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.61 xG 1.19
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
402 Passes 296
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.01.2025 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-2 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
15.09.2024 OFI OFI 3-2 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
17.12.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-0 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
20.08.2023 OFI OFI 3-2 HT 2-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
20.02.2023 OFI OFI 0-3 HT 0-2 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
30.10.2022 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-1 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
2-0
AWAY OFI
2.17 xG 0.38
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
430 Passes 247
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
39 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki saw off OFI 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aris Saloniki as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 63% of the ball to OFI's 37%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.17 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, OFI led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aris Saloniki and 1.50 for OFI.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs OFI?

Aris Saloniki 2-0 OFI in the Greece - Super League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 58%, draw 23%, OFI 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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