Aris Saloniki 0-2 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 5 Jan 2025

Aris Saloniki
0-2 HT 0-0
OFI
📅05/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Aris Saloniki vs OFI Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
3.56
6+ Goals
8%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 33% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.3
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.05
X/1
22%
3.98
X/2
7%
9.2
X/X
14%
4.84
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
15%
7.39
2/X
6%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aris Saloniki v OFI — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.48/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.11
-3% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 75%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
19.8 Crosses 14.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Aris Saloniki vs OFI Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
3W-1D-2L
AWAY OFI
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.82 xG 1.22
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
403 Passes 299
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.09.2024 OFI OFI 3-2 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
17.12.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-0 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
20.08.2023 OFI OFI 3-2 HT 2-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
20.02.2023 OFI OFI 0-3 HT 0-2 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
30.10.2022 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-1 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
23.12.2021 OFI OFI 0-2 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUK

Aris Saloniki 0-2 OFI — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
0-2
AWAY OFI
0.60 xG 1.03
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
401 Passes 281
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI saw off Aris Saloniki 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aris Saloniki at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 58% of the ball to OFI's 42%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.60 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aris Saloniki and 1.17 for OFI.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs OFI?

Aris Saloniki 0-2 OFI in the Greece - Super League on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 46%, draw 27%, OFI 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aris Saloniki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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