Panathinaikos vs PAOK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Panathinaikos v PAOK — Team-Based Signals
Panathinaikos vs PAOK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Panathinaikos 2-1 PAOK — Actual Match Statistics
Panathinaikos nicked a narrow win over PAOK 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Panathinaikos had 53% of the ball to PAOK's 47%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 2.29 to 0.66 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Panathinaikos's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Panathinaikos and 1.83 for PAOK.
What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs PAOK?
Panathinaikos 2-1 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs PAOK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 41%, draw 28%, PAOK 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.