PAOK 0-0 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.8
Over 2.5
58%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.2
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.67
6+ Goals
13%
15.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.67 — our 28% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.72
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
13%
4.54
X/2
11%
7.57
X/X
14%
4.41
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
5.63
2/X
7%
13.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
52%
-9.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
48%
+9.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +27%
1.15/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.00
-7% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
17.4 Crosses 12.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Panathinaikos
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.95 xG 1.29
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
220 Passes 488
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2024 PAOK PAOK 4-1 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
31.03.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-3 HT 1-2 PAOK PAOK YUN
21.02.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-2 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUK
14.02.2024 PAOK PAOK 0-1 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK
28.01.2024 PAOK PAOK 2-1 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
01.10.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-2 HT 1-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
0-0
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.03 xG 0.51
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 Passes 313
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK and Panathinaikos played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was PAOK at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PAOK had 51% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 49%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.03 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for PAOK and 1.33 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Panathinaikos?

PAOK 0-0 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split PAOK 43%, draw 27%, Panathinaikos 29%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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