Atromitos 0-1 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.13
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
14%
5.18
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.87
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.3
X/1
18%
4.29
X/2
8%
7.77
X/X
12%
3.55
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
12%
6.68
2/X
7%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.30/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.98
+19% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
269 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
16.5 Crosses 17.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.88 xG 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
324 Passes 364
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-2 HT 1-2 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
11.05.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
28.01.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
02.10.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 0-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
04.03.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-1 HT 0-1 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
09.11.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 2-0 HT 2-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
0-1
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
0.20 xG 0.56
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 8
372 Passes 306
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis squeezed past Atromitos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atromitos at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Atromitos had 54% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 46%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.20 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atromitos and 1.00 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Atromitos 0-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atromitos win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 45%, draw 30%, Asteras Tripolis 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atromitos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atromitos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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