Volos NFC 2-4 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.95
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
61%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
1.91
Over 2.5
64%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.4
No
51%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.23
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
26%
3.31
6+ Goals
12%
12.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
18.55
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
6%
26.5
X/1
6%
20.6
X/2
18%
3.25
X/X
9%
6.58
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
37%
1.55
2/X
5%
25.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+9.6pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.8pp
61%
Away Win
71%
-10.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
48%
-12.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
52%
+12.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
38%
+11.1pp
51%
BTTS No
62%
-11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 75%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
0.63/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.68
-27% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -18%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
240 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 84%
11.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
12.7 Crosses 24.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volos NFC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY AEK Atina
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.55 xG 1.60
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
193 Passes 449
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
6 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
03.01.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 1-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
03.09.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 2-3 HT 1-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
23.07.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-3 AEK Atina AEK Atina HAZ
14.05.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 4-0 HT 2-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
05.04.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-1 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volos NFC
2-4
AWAY AEK Atina
0.85 xG 2.12
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
161 Passes 525
67% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 44
11 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Volos NFC vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina saw off Volos NFC 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Volos NFC had 30% of the ball to AEK Atina's 70%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.85 to 2.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Volos NFC and 2.67 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Volos NFC vs AEK Atina?

Volos NFC 2-4 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volos NFC vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Volos NFC 20%, draw 20%, AEK Atina 61%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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