Levadiakos 1-0 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.42
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.38
6+ Goals
8%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.73
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
17%
4.38
X/2
8%
8.15
X/X
11%
3.82
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
13%
6.66
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levadiakos EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.12/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.55
-24% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
20.4 Crosses 14.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levadiakos
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Panserraikos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 1.05
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
296 Passes 250
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 6
15.09.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-2 HT 2-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
22.02.2009 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-0 HT 0-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
01.11.2008 Levadiakos Levadiakos 0-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levadiakos
1-0
AWAY Panserraikos
2.40 xG 0.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
290 Passes 314
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Levadiakos vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levadiakos squeezed past Panserraikos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Levadiakos as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Levadiakos had 49% of the ball to Panserraikos's 51%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.40 to 0.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Levadiakos's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Panserraikos led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Levadiakos and 1.00 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of Levadiakos vs Panserraikos?

Levadiakos 1-0 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levadiakos vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levadiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Levadiakos 43%, draw 27%, Panserraikos 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levadiakos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Levadiakos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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