OFI 1-1 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-7.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 53%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +1%
1.64/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.96
+52% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
15.5 Crosses 15.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.22 xG 1.77
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
298 Passes 399
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
05.01.2025 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-2 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
15.09.2024 OFI OFI 3-2 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
17.12.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-0 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
20.08.2023 OFI OFI 3-2 HT 2-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
20.02.2023 OFI OFI 0-3 HT 0-2 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
1-1
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.56 xG 1.92
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 1
251 Passes 388
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH OFI vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI and Aris Saloniki couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Aris Saloniki at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, OFI had 42% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 58%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.56 to 1.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for OFI and 1.67 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of OFI vs Aris Saloniki?

OFI 1-1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split OFI 30%, draw 28%, Aris Saloniki 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aris Saloniki), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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