Asteras Tripolis 1-4 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.4
6+ Goals
10%
23.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.64
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.85
X/1
13%
4.26
X/2
11%
7.97
X/X
12%
4.23
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
15%
6.84
2/X
6%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-9.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+10.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +18%
1.35/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.16
+8% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
24.4 Crosses 16.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Atromitos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.23 xG 0.77
50% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
330 Passes 330
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2025 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
05.01.2025 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
14.09.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-2 HT 1-2 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
11.05.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
28.01.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
02.10.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 0-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1-4
AWAY Atromitos
3.42 xG 1.49
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
386 Passes 212
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 8
39 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atromitos cruised past Asteras Tripolis 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Atromitos made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 63% of the ball to Atromitos's 37%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 3.42 to 1.49 — the balance of chances actually favoured Asteras Tripolis.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 0.50 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos?

Asteras Tripolis 1-4 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 38%, draw 27%, Atromitos 35%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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YUN More Greece - Super League
3 May 2025
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