Atromitos 0-1 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.25
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.79
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.95
X/1
16%
4.29
X/2
10%
7.86
X/X
10%
3.74
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
12%
7.0
2/X
6%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.2pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.28/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.14
-11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
20.5 Crosses 17.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.75 xG 1.14
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
336 Passes 352
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.01.2025 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
14.09.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-2 HT 1-2 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
11.05.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
28.01.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
02.10.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 0-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
04.03.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-1 HT 0-1 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
0-1
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.20 xG 0.96
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
382 Passes 269
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis edged past Atromitos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atromitos at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Atromitos had 57% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 43%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.20 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atromitos and 1.17 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Atromitos 0-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atromitos win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 46%, draw 25%, Asteras Tripolis 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atromitos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atromitos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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