Al Hilal Riyadh 3-0 Esteghlal FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
16%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.69
2-3 Goals
39%
2.14
4-5 Goals
28%
2.49
6+ Goals
11%
5.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.23
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
34.5
X/1
26%
3.45
X/2
6%
34.5
X/X
10%
12.65
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
6%
33.0
2/X
6%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
82%
-17.7pp
19%
Draw
12%
+7.5pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+10.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.8pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal FC EU Bookmakers 8%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.03/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.30
-6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +26%
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
506 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 75%
40.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.4 Crosses 29.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Esteghlal FC
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.10 xG 0.82
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
385 Passes 271
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2021 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh AŞMP
23.04.2019 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC AŞMP
08.04.2019 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh AŞMP
16.04.2018 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 0-1 HT 0-1 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC AŞMP
20.02.2018 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
3-0
AWAY Esteghlal FC
2.17 xG 0.71
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
555 Passes 265
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
36 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Esteghlal FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh cruised past Esteghlal FC 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 65% of the ball to Esteghlal FC's 35%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 2.17 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Esteghlal FC led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 0.80 for Esteghlal FC.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Esteghlal FC?

Al Hilal Riyadh 3-0 Esteghlal FC in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Esteghlal FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 65%, draw 19%, Esteghlal FC 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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