Nacional 2-0 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 4 Nov 2024

Nacional
2-0 HT 2-0
Santa Clara
📅04/11/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Nacional vs Santa Clara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.71
6+ Goals
11%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.26
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
14%
5.68
X/2
14%
5.19
X/X
13%
3.79
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.75
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nacional v Santa Clara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.34/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.10
-9% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
24.1 Crosses 17.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Nacional vs Santa Clara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Santa Clara
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.10 xG 2.13
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
266 Passes 288
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Nacional POR2
11.01.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Nacional POK
04.11.2023 Nacional Nacional 1-1 HT 1-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR2
11.04.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 5-1 HT 2-0 Nacional Nacional POR
06.12.2020 Nacional Nacional 1-3 HT 1-2 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
24.02.2019 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Nacional POR

Nacional 2-0 Santa Clara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional
2-0
AWAY Santa Clara
1.76 xG 1.14
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
172 Passes 401
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 42
15 Crosses 34
4 Yellow Cards 7
FAQ Nacional vs Santa Clara
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Nacional beat Santa Clara 2-0 in the Portugal - Premier League on 4 Nov 2024.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nacional had 34% of the ball to Santa Clara's 66%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 1.76 to 1.14.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Clara lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nacional and 2.00 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Nacional vs Santa Clara?

Nacional 2-0 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nacional 34%, draw 28%, Santa Clara 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✗ BTTS Yes
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