Santa Clara 0-1 Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 17 Mar 2024

Santa Clara
0-1 HT 0-1
Nacional
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Santa Clara vs Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.94
6+ Goals
10%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 30% vs market 28.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.8pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.4pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Clara v Nacional — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
0.89/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.63
-13% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.4 Crosses 16.7
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.8

Santa Clara vs Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Nacional
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.09 xG 1.27
46% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
234 Passes 290
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.01.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Nacional POK
04.11.2023 Nacional Nacional 1-1 HT 1-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR2
11.04.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 5-1 HT 2-0 Nacional Nacional POR
06.12.2020 Nacional Nacional 1-3 HT 1-2 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
24.02.2019 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Nacional POR
30.09.2018 Nacional Nacional 0-3 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR

Santa Clara 0-1 Nacional — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara
0-1
AWAY Nacional
1.38 xG 0.24
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 5
385 Passes 161
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 8
FAQ Santa Clara vs Nacional
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Nacional edged past Santa Clara 1-0 away from home in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17 Mar 2024.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Santa Clara had 65% of the ball to Nacional's 35%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.38 to 0.24.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Clara have the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Santa Clara and 0.67 for Nacional.

What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Nacional?

Santa Clara 0-1 Nacional in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 45%, draw 31%, Nacional 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santa Clara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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