Leixoes 1-1 Mafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.03
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.3pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.23/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.21
-18% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.4 Crosses 18.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mafra
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.07 xG 1.28
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
261 Passes 343
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Mafra Mafra 0-1 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
30.04.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 0-2 HT 0-1 Mafra Mafra POR2
14.11.2022 Mafra Mafra 1-1 HT 0-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
07.05.2022 Mafra Mafra 0-2 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
02.02.2022 Leixoes Leixoes 2-0 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
14.02.2021 Mafra Mafra 1-1 HT 0-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes
1-1
AWAY Mafra
1.68 xG 0.26
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
324 Passes 249
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Leixoes vs Mafra
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Leixoes and Mafra shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17 Mar 2024. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, Leixoes had 56% of the ball to Mafra's 44%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.68 to 0.26.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leixoes have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leixoes and 0.67 for Mafra.

What was the final score of Leixoes vs Mafra?

Leixoes 1-1 Mafra in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Mafra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 37%, draw 31%, Mafra 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leixoes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leixoes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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