CD Feirense 1-1 Porto II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.39
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 27% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto II EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -17%
1.21/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.18
+20% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -36%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses 18.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Feirense
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Porto II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.57 xG 1.28
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
270 Passes 397
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Porto II Porto II 2-0 HT 0-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
16.04.2023 CD Feirense CD Feirense 3-0 HT 2-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
29.10.2022 Porto II Porto II 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
10.04.2022 Porto II Porto II 2-1 HT 0-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
28.11.2021 CD Feirense CD Feirense 3-2 HT 2-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
16.05.2021 Porto II Porto II 4-2 HT 2-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Feirense
1-1
AWAY Porto II
2.28 xG 2.30
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 11
337 Passes 211
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CD Feirense vs Porto II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Feirense and Porto II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Porto II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, CD Feirense had 57% of the ball to Porto II's 43%, shots finished 20-20, expected goals 2.28 to 2.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CD Feirense and 1.67 for Porto II.

What was the final score of CD Feirense vs Porto II?

CD Feirense 1-1 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Feirense vs Porto II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Porto II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CD Feirense 32%, draw 26%, Porto II 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Porto II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Porto II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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