CA River Plate vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA River Plate v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
CA River Plate vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
CA Penarol
URU
1-0
HT 0-0
CA River Plate
URU
0-4
HT 0-3
CA Penarol
CON CSA
1-1
HT 0-1
CA River Plate
URU
CA River Plate 0-1 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol nicked a narrow win over CA River Plate 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, CA River Plate had 31% of the ball to CA Penarol's 69%, shots finished 4-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for CA River Plate and 2.50 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of CA River Plate vs CA Penarol?
CA River Plate 0-1 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 20%, draw 23%, CA Penarol 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol) — a clean sweep of the main markets.