New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
1-3
HT 0-1
Phoenix Rising
USLP
7-0
HT 4-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
1-0
HT 1-0
New Mexico United
USLP
New Mexico United 2-1 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United squeezed past Phoenix Rising 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, New Mexico United had 49% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 51%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.10 to 0.94.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for New Mexico United and 1.17 for Phoenix Rising.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
New Mexico United 2-1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 42%, draw 29%, Phoenix Rising 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.