New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
New Mexico United v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New Mexico United 2-1 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United shaded a tight game against Phoenix Rising 2-1. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 51%.
The match data tells the story: Phoenix Rising saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.10 to 0.94.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for New Mexico United against 1.17 for Phoenix Rising.
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Result & Final Score
New Mexico United 2 - 1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 44%, draw 29%, Phoenix Rising 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.