Leicester City 1-1 Middlesbrough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 Nov 2025

📅04/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.78
Over
48%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.93
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
21%
3.76
6+
5%
16.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.04
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
16%
4.83
X/2
11%
6.71
X/X
17%
4.49
2/1
3%
26.5
2/2
15%
5.03
2/X
5%
14.05
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Leicester City The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough The Market 32%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.63 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.34
1.00 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.31
Great Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
30 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Middlesbrough
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 0.90
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
420 Passes 318
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
17.02.2024 Leicester City Leicester City 1-2 HT 0-2 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
11.11.2023 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-0 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
02.01.2017 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-0 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
26.11.2016 Leicester City Leicester City 2-2 HT 1-1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNP
25.01.2014 Leicester City Leicester City 2-0 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
03.08.2013 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-2 HT 1-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City
1 - 1
AWAY Middlesbrough
1.25 xG 1.19
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
237 Passes 457
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 30
6 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Leicester City vs Middlesbrough
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Leicester City and Middlesbrough with a point apiece. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Leicester City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 52%.

Under the surface, Leicester City had 37% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 63%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 1.25 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leicester City and 1.00 for Middlesbrough.

Leicester City vs Middlesbrough Result & Final Score

Leicester City 1 - 1 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 04/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Leicester City vs Middlesbrough Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Leicester City 44%, draw 28%, Middlesbrough 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leicester City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leicester City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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