Derby County vs Hull City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Derby County v Hull City — Team-Based Signals
Derby County vs Hull City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derby County 2-1 Hull City — Actual Match Statistics
Derby County came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Hull City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Derby County as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.
By the numbers, Hull City saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.94 to 1.30.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derby County had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Derby County against 0.67 for Hull City.
Derby County vs Hull City Result & Final Score
Derby County 2 - 1 Hull City in the England - Championship on 04/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Derby County vs Hull City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Derby County win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Derby County 43%, draw 29%, Hull City 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derby County), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.