Derby County 1-1 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 26 Oct 2024

Derby County
1-1 HT 0-0
Hull City
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Derby County vs Hull City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
12.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.08
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
16%
5.02
X/2
8%
6.6
X/X
10%
4.6
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
17%
4.54
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Derby County v Hull City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derby County EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
1.25/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.09
-6% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
18.6 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Derby County vs Hull City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derby County
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Hull City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.35 xG 1.05
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
368 Passes 268
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.02.2022 Derby County Derby County 3-1 HT 2-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
18.08.2021 Hull City Hull City 0-1 HT 0-0 Derby County Derby County İNCL
18.01.2020 Derby County Derby County 1-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
26.10.2019 Hull City Hull City 2-0 HT 0-0 Derby County Derby County İNCL
09.02.2019 Derby County Derby County 2-0 HT 1-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
01.09.2018 Hull City Hull City 1-2 HT 0-1 Derby County Derby County İNCL

Derby County 1-1 Hull City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derby County
1-1
AWAY Hull City
0.63 xG 1.13
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
261 Passes 425
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 32
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Derby County vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derby County and Hull City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Derby County at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Derby County had 42% of the ball to Hull City's 58%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.63 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derby County had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Derby County and 0.67 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Derby County vs Hull City?

Derby County 1-1 Hull City in the England - Championship on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derby County vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Derby County win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Derby County 42%, draw 26%, Hull City 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Derby County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Derby County) ✓ BTTS Yes
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