Bristol City 0-0 Leeds United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.65
6+ Goals
8%
15.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.93
1/2
8%
24.85
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
14.3
X/1
9%
7.79
X/2
15%
4.29
X/X
9%
4.66
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.57
2/X
7%
13.7
Value flag · 1/X at 14.3 — our 12% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United EU Bookmakers 53%
+1% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.14/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.94
+9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +14%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
240 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 76%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
16.2 Crosses 17.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Leeds United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.40 xG 1.95
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
237 Passes 398
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2024 Bristol City Bristol City 0-1 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
07.10.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 1-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
15.02.2020 Leeds United Leeds United 1-0 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
04.08.2019 Bristol City Bristol City 1-3 HT 0-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
09.03.2019 Bristol City Bristol City 0-1 HT 0-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
24.11.2018 Leeds United Leeds United 2-0 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol City
0-0
AWAY Leeds United
0.13 xG 1.38
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
187 Passes 523
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bristol City vs Leeds United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City and Leeds United fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Leeds United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bristol City had 32% of the ball to Leeds United's 68%, shots finished 4-17, expected goals 0.13 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Bristol City and 1.67 for Leeds United.

What was the final score of Bristol City vs Leeds United?

Bristol City 0-0 Leeds United in the England - Championship on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City vs Leeds United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bristol City 28%, draw 28%, Leeds United 44%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leeds United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leeds United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
26 Oct 2024
14:30 Watford vs Blackburn Rovers Analysis →
14:30 Coventry vs Luton Town Analysis →
17:00 Burnley vs Queens Park Rangers Analysis →
17:00 Sheffield United vs Stoke City Analysis →
17:00 Derby County vs Hull City Analysis →
17:00 Swansea City vs Millwall Analysis →