Watford 1-0 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 29% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.28
1/2
11%
31.5
1/X
12%
12.8
X/1
13%
5.09
X/2
7%
6.15
X/X
8%
4.51
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
16%
4.29
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.6pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Watford EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.40/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.21
+13% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.7 Crosses 13.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Watford
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.64 xG 1.16
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
352 Passes 330
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-2 HT 1-0 Watford Watford İNCL
27.08.2023 Watford Watford 0-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
11.02.2023 Watford Watford 1-1 HT 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
13.09.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Watford Watford İNCL
24.02.2021 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-3 HT 1-2 Watford Watford İNCL
21.10.2020 Watford Watford 3-1 HT 2-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Watford
1-0
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
2.07 xG 1.44
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
287 Passes 333
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Watford vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Watford squeezed past Blackburn Rovers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Watford found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Watford had 46% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 54%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 2.07 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Watford had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Watford and 1.33 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Watford vs Blackburn Rovers?

Watford 1-0 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Watford vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Watford win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Watford 39%, draw 27%, Blackburn Rovers 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Watford), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Watford) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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