Swansea City 0-1 Millwall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.68
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.53 — our 35% vs market 33.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.64
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
19%
4.97
X/2
11%
5.57
X/X
11%
3.97
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
16%
4.27
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.3pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.42/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.20
-3% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 70%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
19.8 Crosses 17.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Millwall
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.44 xG 1.14
65% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
529 Passes 248
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Swansea City Swansea City 0-1 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
30.09.2023 Millwall Millwall 0-3 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
14.03.2023 Millwall Millwall 2-1 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
16.08.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 2-2 HT 2-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
05.04.2022 Millwall Millwall 0-1 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
15.09.2021 Swansea City Swansea City 0-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
0-1
AWAY Millwall
1.93 xG 0.33
72% Ball Possession 28%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 6
414 Passes 106
86% Pass Accuracy 58%
20 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Millwall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millwall squeezed past Swansea City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Millwall found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Swansea City had 72% of the ball to Millwall's 28%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.93 to 0.33 — on chances, Swansea City could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Swansea City and 0.83 for Millwall.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Millwall?

Swansea City 0-1 Millwall in the England - Championship on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Millwall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 40%, draw 27%, Millwall 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Swansea City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swansea City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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