Hull City vs Derby County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hull City v Derby County — Team-Based Signals
Hull City vs Derby County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Hull City
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-0
Derby County
İNCL
1-0
HT 0-0
Hull City
İNCL
2-0
HT 0-0
Derby County
İNCL
2-0
HT 1-0
Hull City
İNCL
Hull City 0-1 Derby County — Actual Match Statistics
Derby County nicked a narrow win over Hull City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Derby County found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Hull City had 62% of the ball to Derby County's 38%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 0.40 to 0.32.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derby County led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hull City and 1.33 for Derby County.
What was the final score of Hull City vs Derby County?
Hull City 0-1 Derby County in the England - Championship on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hull City vs Derby County?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hull City 39%, draw 28%, Derby County 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hull City) went the other way.