Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Watford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.57
6+ Goals
8%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 32% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.14
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
18%
4.15
X/2
7%
10.3
X/X
15%
5.07
2/1
8%
24.2
2/2
12%
8.57
2/X
7%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.1pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Watford EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.51/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.67
-2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
382 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.0 Crosses 15.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackburn Rovers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Watford
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.03 xG 1.62
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
303 Passes 364
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Watford Watford 1-0 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
23.12.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-2 HT 1-0 Watford Watford İNCL
27.08.2023 Watford Watford 0-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
11.02.2023 Watford Watford 1-1 HT 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
13.09.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Watford Watford İNCL
24.02.2021 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-3 HT 1-2 Watford Watford İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackburn Rovers
2-1
AWAY Watford
1.02 xG 0.35
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
305 Passes 247
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
11 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Blackburn Rovers vs Watford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers nicked a narrow win over Watford 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Blackburn Rovers as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Blackburn Rovers had 55% of the ball to Watford's 45%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.02 to 0.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Watford led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Blackburn Rovers and 1.17 for Watford.

What was the final score of Blackburn Rovers vs Watford?

Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Watford in the England - Championship on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackburn Rovers vs Watford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Blackburn Rovers 47%, draw 28%, Watford 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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