Oxford United vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oxford United v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals
Oxford United vs Sunderland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Sunderland
İN1
1-1
HT 1-1
Oxford United
İN1
3-1
HT 1-1
Oxford United
İN1
0-2
HT 0-0
Sunderland
İN1
0-1
HT 0-1
Sunderland
İN1
Oxford United 2-0 Sunderland — Actual Match Statistics
Oxford United saw off Sunderland 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Sunderland at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Oxford United had 31% of the ball to Sunderland's 69%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.61 to 0.59.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sunderland led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Oxford United and 1.83 for Sunderland.
What was the final score of Oxford United vs Sunderland?
Oxford United 2-0 Sunderland in the England - Championship on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Sunderland?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 34%, draw 25%, Sunderland 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sunderland) went the other way.