Sunderland 2-0 Oxford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 26 Oct 2024

Sunderland
2-0 HT 1-0
Oxford United
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Sunderland vs Oxford United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
32%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 26% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.02
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.1
X/1
12%
3.75
X/2
11%
10.6
X/X
11%
5.45
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
12%
8.41
2/X
8%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
59%
-15.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
18%
+14.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sunderland v Oxford United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford United EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.66/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/2.18
-5% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
15.8 Crosses 8.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.3

Sunderland vs Oxford United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Oxford United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.47 xG 0.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
251 Passes 263
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.04.2022 Oxford United Oxford United 1-2 HT 1-1 Sunderland Sunderland İN1
04.12.2021 Sunderland Sunderland 1-1 HT 1-1 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
02.04.2021 Sunderland Sunderland 3-1 HT 1-1 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
19.09.2020 Oxford United Oxford United 0-2 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İN1
15.02.2020 Oxford United Oxford United 0-1 HT 0-1 Sunderland Sunderland İN1
29.10.2019 Oxford United Oxford United 1-1 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNLK

Sunderland 2-0 Oxford United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland
2-0
AWAY Oxford United
1.22 xG 0.15
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
566 Passes 271
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sunderland vs Oxford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland saw off Oxford United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sunderland as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sunderland had 64% of the ball to Oxford United's 36%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.22 to 0.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sunderland had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sunderland and 0.67 for Oxford United.

What was the final score of Sunderland vs Oxford United?

Sunderland 2-0 Oxford United in the England - Championship on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Oxford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 44%, draw 24%, Oxford United 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sunderland) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sunderland) ✗ BTTS Yes
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