Millwall 1-0 Swansea City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.73
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.4
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
15%
4.89
X/2
13%
6.31
X/X
13%
3.95
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
12%
5.0
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.26/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.39
-3% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
22.7 Crosses 17.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millwall
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Swansea City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.00 xG 1.59
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
225 Passes 511
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Swansea City Swansea City 0-1 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
04.05.2024 Swansea City Swansea City 0-1 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
30.09.2023 Millwall Millwall 0-3 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
14.03.2023 Millwall Millwall 2-1 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
16.08.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 2-2 HT 2-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
05.04.2022 Millwall Millwall 0-1 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millwall
1-0
AWAY Swansea City
1.67 xG 1.03
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
168 Passes 263
60% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Millwall vs Swansea City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millwall nicked a narrow win over Swansea City 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Millwall made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Millwall had 42% of the ball to Swansea City's 58%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.67 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millwall had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Millwall and 1.17 for Swansea City.

What was the final score of Millwall vs Swansea City?

Millwall 1-0 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall vs Swansea City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Millwall 40%, draw 29%, Swansea City 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millwall), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Millwall) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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