Oxford United 0-3 Stoke City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 Nov 2025

📅04/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.78
Over
48%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.74
No
47%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.98
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
21%
3.71
6+
5%
15.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.49
1/2
3%
27.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
12%
6.29
X/2
14%
5.2
X/X
18%
4.42
2/1
2%
32.5
2/2
22%
3.34
2/X
6%
13.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Oxford United The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City The Market 43%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.31 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.62
1.30 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.21
Average Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford United
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Stoke City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.19 xG 0.45
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
346 Passes 253
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Stoke City Stoke City 0-0 HT 0-0 Oxford United Oxford United İNCL
14.09.2024 Oxford United Oxford United 1-0 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
20.02.2001 Oxford United Oxford United 1-1 HT 1-0 Stoke City Stoke City İN1
13.09.2000 Stoke City Stoke City 4-0 HT 3-0 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford United
0 - 3
AWAY Stoke City
1.76 xG 1.97
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 7
263 Passes 273
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 27
37 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Oxford United vs Stoke City
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Stoke City made light work of Oxford United 3-0 on their travels. Half-time: 0-2.

The model refused to pick a side here (31% / 30% / 39%); Stoke City picked one for it.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, Stoke City saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.76 to 1.97.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Oxford United against 1.25 for Stoke City.

Oxford United vs Stoke City Result & Final Score

Oxford United 0 - 3 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 04/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Oxford United vs Stoke City Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 31%, draw 30%, Stoke City 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stoke City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stoke City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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