Stoke City vs Oxford United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stoke City v Oxford United — Team-Based Signals
Stoke City vs Oxford United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Stoke City
İN1
4-0
HT 3-0
Oxford United
İN1
Stoke City 0-0 Oxford United — Actual Match Statistics
Stoke City and Oxford United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Stoke City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Stoke City had 48% of the ball to Oxford United's 52%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.37 to 1.17.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stoke City and 0.67 for Oxford United.
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Oxford United?
Stoke City 0-0 Oxford United in the England - Championship on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Oxford United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 44%, draw 28%, Oxford United 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stoke City) went the other way.