Sunderland 2-2 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.27
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.88
6+ Goals
10%
8.54
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.16 — our 27% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.41
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
24.7
X/1
28%
3.61
X/2
5%
22.55
X/X
8%
8.04
2/1
7%
24.3
2/2
7%
21.05
2/X
8%
29.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
75%
-12.1pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.0pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 11%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.75/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.95
-9% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -16%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
456 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 68%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
16.0 Crosses 9.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.54 xG 0.98
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
388 Passes 258
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 3-2 HT 0-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
10.02.2024 Sunderland Sunderland 3-1 HT 0-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
25.11.2023 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-0 HT 2-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
18.04.2022 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-0 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İN1
11.12.2021 Sunderland Sunderland 2-1 HT 2-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
01.05.2021 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-3 HT 0-1 Sunderland Sunderland İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland
2-2
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
0.59 xG 1.05
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
489 Passes 172
85% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sunderland vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland and Plymouth Argyle shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Sunderland carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sunderland had 69% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 31%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.59 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sunderland had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sunderland and 1.33 for Plymouth Argyle.

What was the final score of Sunderland vs Plymouth Argyle?

Sunderland 2-2 Plymouth Argyle in the England - Championship on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 63%, draw 22%, Plymouth Argyle 16%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sunderland) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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