Sunderland 3-1 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 10 Feb 2024

Sunderland
3-1 HT 0-1
Plymouth Argyle
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Sunderland vs Plymouth Argyle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.83
6+ Goals
12%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.84
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
15.85
X/1
16%
3.81
X/2
6%
11.75
X/X
9%
6.31
2/1
8%
20.45
2/2
11%
8.56
2/X
7%
16.35
Value flag · 1/X at 15.85 — our 11% vs market 3.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.6pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.7pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sunderland v Plymouth Argyle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.87/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.53
-16% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
16.3 Crosses 10.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Sunderland vs Plymouth Argyle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.57 xG 0.78
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
389 Passes 251
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-0 HT 2-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
18.04.2022 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-0 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İN1
11.12.2021 Sunderland Sunderland 2-1 HT 2-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
01.05.2021 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-3 HT 0-1 Sunderland Sunderland İN1
19.01.2021 Sunderland Sunderland 1-2 HT 0-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
02.03.2019 Sunderland Sunderland 2-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1

Sunderland 3-1 Plymouth Argyle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland
3-1
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
0.91 xG 0.52
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
478 Passes 204
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 4
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sunderland vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland beat Plymouth Argyle 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sunderland as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sunderland had 66% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 34%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 0.91 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sunderland had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sunderland and 1.00 for Plymouth Argyle.

What was the final score of Sunderland vs Plymouth Argyle?

Sunderland 3-1 Plymouth Argyle in the England - Championship on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 51%, draw 27%, Plymouth Argyle 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sunderland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sunderland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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