Middlesbrough vs Bristol City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Middlesbrough v Bristol City — Team-Based Signals
Middlesbrough vs Bristol City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
2-2
HT 1-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
1-1
HT 0-1
Bristol City
İNCL
2-1
HT 1-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
2-1
HT 1-0
Bristol City
İNCL
1-3
HT 0-3
Bristol City
İNCL
Middlesbrough 1-2 Bristol City — Actual Match Statistics
Bristol City squeezed past Middlesbrough 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Middlesbrough at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Middlesbrough had 70% of the ball to Bristol City's 30%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.84 to 1.41 — the balance of chances actually favoured Middlesbrough.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Middlesbrough and 2.00 for Bristol City.
What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Bristol City?
Middlesbrough 1-2 Bristol City in the England - Championship on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Middlesbrough vs Bristol City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 45%, draw 30%, Bristol City 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.