Blackburn Rovers 3-1 Stoke City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 10 Feb 2024

Blackburn Rovers
3-1 HT 3-1
Stoke City
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.64
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
7.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.99
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
12%
5.2
X/2
6%
6.4
X/X
14%
5.42
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.9
2/2
21%
4.0
2/X
6%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.9 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.6pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Blackburn Rovers v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.42/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.22
+4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
16.3 Crosses 19.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackburn Rovers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stoke City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 0.90
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
310 Passes 320
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 0-3 HT 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
10.03.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 3-2 HT 2-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
27.08.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
18.04.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
27.11.2021 Stoke City Stoke City 0-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
16.01.2021 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-1 HT 0-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL

Blackburn Rovers 3-1 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackburn Rovers
3-1
AWAY Stoke City
1.89 xG 1.19
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
198 Passes 427
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers got the better of Stoke City 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Blackburn Rovers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Blackburn Rovers had 37% of the ball to Stoke City's 63%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.89 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Blackburn Rovers and 1.00 for Stoke City.

What was the final score of Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City?

Blackburn Rovers 3-1 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Blackburn Rovers 39%, draw 28%, Stoke City 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackburn Rovers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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