Hull City 0-1 Swansea City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.7
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 26% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.24
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
15%
4.08
X/2
7%
8.9
X/X
12%
5.16
2/1
6%
22.45
2/2
11%
6.63
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hull City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City EU Bookmakers 25%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +16%
1.42/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.68
-2% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 76%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
20.7 Crosses 13.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hull City
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Swansea City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.83 xG 1.51
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
296 Passes 546
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 2-2 HT 2-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
29.04.2023 Hull City Hull City 1-1 HT 1-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
17.09.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 3-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
29.01.2022 Hull City Hull City 2-0 HT 2-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
11.09.2021 Swansea City Swansea City 0-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
14.02.2020 Hull City Hull City 4-4 HT 1-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hull City
0-1
AWAY Swansea City
0.67 xG 0.70
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
476 Passes 293
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
11 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hull City vs Swansea City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City squeezed past Hull City 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Hull City at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hull City had 58% of the ball to Swansea City's 42%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.67 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hull City and 1.67 for Swansea City.

What was the final score of Hull City vs Swansea City?

Hull City 0-1 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hull City vs Swansea City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hull City 51%, draw 24%, Swansea City 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Hull City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hull City) ✓ BTTS No
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