Plymouth Argyle vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Plymouth Argyle v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals
Plymouth Argyle vs Sunderland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Sunderland
İNCL
0-0
HT 0-0
Sunderland
İN1
2-1
HT 2-0
Plymouth Argyle
İN1
1-3
HT 0-1
Sunderland
İN1
1-2
HT 0-1
Plymouth Argyle
İN1
Plymouth Argyle 3-2 Sunderland — Actual Match Statistics
Plymouth Argyle edged past Sunderland 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Sunderland at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 49% of the ball to Sunderland's 51%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.76 to 1.75.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sunderland led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 1.50 for Sunderland.
What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Sunderland?
Plymouth Argyle 3-2 Sunderland in the England - Championship on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Sunderland?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 24%, draw 26%, Sunderland 50%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.