Blackburn Rovers 3-0 Bristol City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.6
6+ Goals
12%
14.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.6 — our 24% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.18
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
13%
4.95
X/2
7%
6.29
X/X
14%
4.54
2/1
5%
26.5
2/2
14%
4.45
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol City EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.40/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.46
+7% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
16.0 Crosses 17.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackburn Rovers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bristol City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.07 xG 1.53
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
380 Passes 308
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2024 Bristol City Bristol City 5-0 HT 2-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
12.12.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
21.01.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 1-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
03.09.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-3 HT 0-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
12.03.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
20.11.2021 Bristol City Bristol City 1-1 HT 1-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackburn Rovers
3-0
AWAY Bristol City
0.98 xG 0.74
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
287 Passes 378
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Blackburn Rovers vs Bristol City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers swept aside Bristol City 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Blackburn Rovers as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Blackburn Rovers had 45% of the ball to Bristol City's 55%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.98 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Blackburn Rovers and 2.00 for Bristol City.

What was the final score of Blackburn Rovers vs Bristol City?

Blackburn Rovers 3-0 Bristol City in the England - Championship on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackburn Rovers vs Bristol City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Blackburn Rovers 44%, draw 27%, Bristol City 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackburn Rovers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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